All the day’s campaign news, as Brexit secretary appears to contradict Theresa May’s ambition to cut net migration to under 100,000 by 2022
4.46pm BST
The Political Studies Association has been surveying experts to find out what they think the election result will be and today they have published a report with their findings (pdf). Some 335 people submitted forecasts (280 politics academics, and the rest journalists, pollsters or “other”) and generally they were forecasting a virtual Conservative landslide.
Being academics, they produced two figures for the average Conservative majority forecast: 92 was the mean figure, but 110 was the median (the halfway point).
Just as with vote shares, the headline figures for our expert predictions concerning seats in parliament also suggest a big win for the Conservatives, although some 12% of respondents expected a net loss of seats for the Tories. On average they expected a majority of 92 but most, 59% of respondents, expected a Tory majority of 100 or more. Labour were expected to sink to their lowest number of seats since 1935, with an average prediction of 186 seats. Just 6% of our respondents expected Labour to match or increase their 2015 seat tally.
4.15pm BST
This is quite fun. It’s from Sam Freedman, who now works at Teach First but who used to be a civil servant at the Department for Education.
Just had a message from a panicky civil servant who was supposed to be working on a plan to implement Labour’s policies.
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Source: Guardian Climate Change